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Created by:Allard HöfeltAllard Höfelt
{"id":899073,"type":0,"block_id":"748280015_1365493915","theme_id":32,"user_id":305715,"path":"temp-231515563123","title":"","pubtitle":"temp","tags":"","public":true,"publicAccess":true,"private_link_enabled":0,"thumb":"https://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/infogram-thumbs-200/748280015_1365493915.jpg","width":700,"copyright":"","properties":{"social":"twitter","publishType":0,"transparent":false,"rtl":false,"export_settings":{"showGrid":true,"showValues":true},"whitelabel":false,"embed_button":"enabled","title_link":"infogram","custom_logo":"infogram","custom_link_url":"","embed_button_text":"Share","decimal_separator":".,"},"elements":[{"type":"particle","particle_id":857865,"object_id":"7482800151365514295","particle_type":"bodytitle","picture":null,"text":"It all starts with the estimated number of Managed Subscribers by geography, based on a bottom-up count of historical and forecasted subs for all known Network Operators customers.","content_type":"","title":"","shrink":null},{"type":"chart","chart_id":1371421,"object_id":"748280015_1365500527","chart_type_nr":15,"data":[[["Total Managed subscribers (000s)","2009","2010","2011","2012","2013","2014","2015","2016","2017","2018"],["EMEA"," 15 "," 136 "," 2,515 "," 6,463 "," 8,789 "," 12,136 "," 16,977 "," 23,622 "," 33,090 "," 42,100 "],["APAC"," - "," 15 "," 115 "," 307 "," 533 "," 782 "," 1,265 "," 2,132 "," 3,692 "," 5,372 "],["Americas"," 154 "," 312 "," 4,059 "," 5,853 "," 7,053 "," 8,582 "," 10,389 "," 12,628 "," 15,183 "," 17,776 "]]],"custom":{"grid":true,"absoluteDistribution":true,"ylabel":"(thousands of managed subscribers)","legacyTransposeDone":true,"switchRowsColumns":true},"colors":[],"dimensions":[],"modifier":0,"sheetnames":[],"sheets_settings":[]},{"type":"particle","particle_id":857870,"object_id":"7482800151365514327","particle_type":"bodytitle","picture":null,"text":"As a sidenote, here are the reported overall revenues, split by geography, 2009-2011. It can be seen that EMEA is the major revenue generator. But we cannot simply assume that this holds for each segment.","content_type":"","title":"","shrink":null},{"type":"chart","chart_id":1371443,"object_id":"748280015_1365500710","chart_type_nr":10,"data":[[["","2009","2010","2011"],["EMEA"," $33.11 "," $57.52 "," $137.36 "],["APAC"," $10.50 "," $26.49 "," $29.32 "],["Americas"," $3.68 "," $22.59 "," $48.25 "]]],"custom":{"grid":true,"legacyTransposeDone":true,"switchRowsColumns":true},"colors":[],"dimensions":[],"modifier":0,"sheetnames":[],"sheets_settings":[]},{"type":"particle","particle_id":857873,"object_id":"7482800151365514357","particle_type":"bodytitle","picture":null,"text":"More info on Managed Subs. These are Managed Customers by Country, again just the Network Operators segment. Click a year.","content_type":"","title":"","shrink":null},{"type":"chart","chart_id":1371545,"object_id":"748280015_1365501386","chart_type_nr":3,"data":[[["","2009","2010","2011","2012","2013","2014","2015","2016","2017","2018"],[" Australia "," 15 "," 33 "," 57 "," 127 "," 188 "," 289 "," 493 "," 870 "," 1,556 "," 2,296 "],[" Belgium "," 39 "," 63 "," 104 "," 158 "," 212 "," 293 "," 410 "," 574 "," 803 "," 1,004 "],[" France "," 60 "," 135 "," 264 "," 406 "," 571 "," 811 "," 1,158 "," 1,621 "," 2,308 "," 2,920 "],[" Germany "," 138 "," 181 "," 286 "," 453 "," 604 "," 821 "," 1,123 "," 1,540 "," 2,111 "," 2,594 "],[" Italy "," 266 "," 456 "," 721 "," 978 "," 1,390 "," 1,974 "," 2,845 "," 4,039 "," 5,818 "," 7,448 "],[" Malaysia "," 29 "," 59 "," 92 "," 146 "," 197 "," 282 "," 453 "," 763 "," 1,327 "," 1,925 "],[" Singapore "," 16 "," 27 "," 46 "," 66 "," 87 "," 118 "," 163 "," 222 "," 307 "," 380 "],[" Turkey "," 17 "," 21 "," 29 "," 42 "," 61 "," 93 "," 157 "," 277 "," 501 "," 771 "],[" UK "," 820 "," 2,925 "," 1,135 "," 1,618 "," 2,239 "," 3,180 "," 4,495 "," 6,437 "," 9,080 "," 11,568 "],[" USA "," 5,886 "," 7,046 "," 8,709 "," 10,905 "," 13,453 "," 16,709 "," 20,809 "," 25,690 "," 31,563 "," 37,014 "],[" Global "," 696 "," 1,191 "," 2,077 "," 2,852 "," 3,773 "," 5,056 "," 6,946 "," 9,411 "," 12,969 "," 16,566 "]]],"custom":{},"colors":[],"dimensions":[],"modifier":0,"sheetnames":[],"sheets_settings":[]},{"type":"particle","particle_id":857886,"object_id":"7482800151365514397","particle_type":"bodytitle","picture":null,"text":"Informed Guess: Price points per Managed Subscriber by geography (in US$ cents). These price points have been calculated by dividing (i) the Network Operators&#39; assumed revenues by geography (that&#39;s the informed guess part; it&#39;s informed because I made a little tool to help me guess) by (ii) the Managed Subscribers by geography. Rev / Q = P.","content_type":"","title":"","shrink":null},{"type":"chart","chart_id":1373963,"object_id":"748280015_1365514420","chart_type_nr":6,"data":[[["Price Points per Managed Sub","2011","2012","2013","2014","2015","2016","2017","2018"],["(EMEA)"," $8.19 "," $7.37 "," $6.63 "," $5.97 "," $5.37 "," $4.84 "," $4.35 "," $3.92 "],["(APAC)"," $7.63 "," $6.87 "," $6.18 "," $5.56 "," $5.01 "," $4.51 "," $4.05 "," $3.65 "],["(Americas)"," $9.75 "," $8.77 "," $7.90 "," $7.11 "," $6.40 "," $5.76 "," $5.18 "," $4.66 "],["Average"," $9.13 "," $8.21 "," $7.39 "," $6.65 "," $5.99 "," $5.39 "," $4.85 "," $4.37 "]]],"custom":{"legacyTransposeDone":true,"switchRowsColumns":true},"colors":[],"dimensions":[],"modifier":0,"sheetnames":[],"sheets_settings":[]},{"type":"particle","particle_id":857931,"object_id":"7482800151365514608","particle_type":"bodytitle","picture":null,"text":"These assumptions lead to this Revenue forecast by Geography. The difference with the assumptions in the last step is that the model can now look forward. But of course, that&#39;s all just for the Network Operators segment. For now...","content_type":"","title":"","shrink":null},{"type":"chart","chart_id":1374034,"object_id":"748280015_1365514650","chart_type_nr":15,"data":[[["Revenues from Network Operators","2009","2010","2011","2012","2013","2014","2015","2016","2017","2018"],["EMEA"," $1 "," $2 "," $21 "," $48 "," $58 "," $72 "," $91 "," $114 "," $144 "," $165 "],["APAC"," $0 "," $0 "," $1 "," $2 "," $3 "," $4 "," $6 "," $10 "," $15 "," $20 "],["Americas"," $22 "," $40 "," $40 "," $51 "," $56 "," $61 "," $66 "," $73 "," $79 "," $83 "]]],"custom":{"legacyTransposeDone":true,"switchRowsColumns":true},"colors":[],"dimensions":[],"modifier":0,"sheetnames":[],"sheets_settings":[]},{"type":"particle","particle_id":857951,"object_id":"7482800151365514706","particle_type":"bodytitle","picture":null,"text":"Similar CAGRs, but lower due to lower expected growth (note: this is probably the mode&#39;s largest ASSUMPTION!), have been used for the other segments. That leads to this overall revenue growth. By platform or by geography. This graph shows by platform. The data in the excel sheet can do it all.","content_type":"","title":"","shrink":null},{"type":"chart","chart_id":1374063,"object_id":"748280015_1365514760","chart_type_nr":15,"data":[[["Past GDP","2009","2010","2011","2012","2013","2014","2015","2016","2017","2018"],["Network Operators"," $24 "," $43 "," $61 "," $101 "," $117 "," $138 "," $164 "," $197 "," $238 "," $267 "],["Media"," $17 "," $46 "," $110 "," $180 "," $215 "," $257 "," $318 "," $403 "," $525 "," $622 "],["Enterprise"," $7 "," $18 "," $44 "," $58 "," $65 "," $73 "," $86 "," $103 "," $127 "," $146 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