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{"embedWordpressImage":"[infogram id=\"4-iowa-at-89-penn-state\" prefix=\"DZ2\" format=\"image\"]","embedWordpress":"[infogram id=\"4-iowa-at-89-penn-state\" prefix=\"2kd\" format=\"interactive\"]","embedImageIframe":"<iframe src=\"//e.infogr.am/4-iowa-at-89-penn-state?src=embed&amp;type=image\" width=\"700\" height=\"\" scrolling=\"no\" frameborder=\"0\" style=\"border:none;\"></iframe><div style=\"width:100%;border-top:1px solid #acacac;padding-top:3px;font-family:Arial;font-size:10px;text-align:center;\"><a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://infogr.am/4-iowa-at-89-penn-state\" style=\"color:#acacac;text-decoration:none;\">#4 Iowa at #89 Penn State</a> | <a style=\"color:#acacac;text-decoration:none;\" href=\"https://infogr.am\" target=\"_blank\">Create infographics</a></div>","embedImageResponsive":"<script id=\"infogramimg_0_4-iowa-at-89-penn-state\" src=\"//e.infogr.am/js/embed.js?PaF\" type=\"text/javascript\"></script><div style=\"width:100%;border-top:1px solid 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0;\n}","fonts":"PT+Sans:400,700;PT+Sans+Narrow","width":550,"public":1,"thumb":"/i/templates/S/infogram.png","order":3,"picture":"/i/templates/L/infogram.png","usergroup":"","author":"Infogr.am","title":"infogr.am default","_id":29},"elements":[{"shrink":null,"title":null,"content_type":"","text":"#4 Iowa at #89 Penn State","picture":null,"particle_type":"maintitle","object_id":"1a6de86d-eadd-11e4-a037-7b5f270fdca9","particle_id":17218219,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"Bryce Jordan Center","content_type":"","text":"Saturday, February 15th, 12:00PM CST","picture":null,"particle_type":"quote","object_id":"titohwk_1392342635","particle_id":3956803,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"When Iowa Has the Ball","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytitle","object_id":"titohwk_1392342888","particle_id":3956817,"type":"particle"},{"dimensions":{"height":372,"width":622},"picture":"https://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/infogram-particles-700/titohwk_1392342912.png","particle_type":"image","object_id":"titohwk_1392342912","particle_id":3956829,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Penn State's defense is not great this year, but they are slightly above average with an adjusted defensive efficiency (DE+) at 1% above the national average. They pull that off by keeping their opponents from putting the ball in the hoop and not allowing them to collect their misses at pretty decent rates. However, Iowa has an adjusted offensive efficiency (OE+) that is 15% better than the Division I average this year, and has major advantages in three out of the four factors. Penn State may be able to battle Iowa to a draw in the shooting category, but the Hawkeyes should be able to get to the free throw line with little issue in this one. ","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392342919","particle_id":3956820,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Advantage: Iowa","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392346796","particle_id":3957136,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"When Penn State Has the Ball","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytitle","object_id":"titohwk_1392342922","particle_id":3956823,"type":"particle"},{"dimensions":{"height":395,"width":622},"picture":"https://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/infogram-particles-700/titohwk_1392342962.png","particle_type":"image","object_id":"titohwk_1392342962","particle_id":3956839,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"On offense, Penn State's OE+ so far this season is 7% above the national average, and they have done that mainly by not giving away possessions without at least getting a shot up. They don't necessarily shoot the ball lights out, but they are above average in shooting and their two best players, Tim Frazier and D.J. Newbill, can fill it up from anywhere on the court. Of course, Iowa's defense comes in rated almost as highly as their offense, with a DE+ that comes out to 13% above average. Iowa's main weakness (if you can call 3% above average \"a weakness\") is the fact that they are just slightly above average in forcing turnovers. So, don't expect Iowa to force a lot of them on this Penn State team. Other than that, though, Iowa has the rather large advantage on defense.","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392342972","particle_id":3956837,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Advantage: Iowa","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392347480","particle_id":3957193,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Team Shooting Comparison","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytitle","object_id":"titohwk_1392342975","particle_id":3956838,"type":"particle"},{"dimensions":{"height":407,"width":622},"picture":"https://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/infogram-particles-700/titohwk_1392343010.png","particle_type":"image","object_id":"titohwk_1392343010","particle_id":3956844,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Iowa has outshot Penn State from both inside and beyond the arc this season, but Penn State has hit their free throws at a better clip. As for defense, we can see that a big part of Penn State being above average in defensive eFG% in the first chart of this post, is because they have been good contesting two their opponent's two point shots this year. Like Iowa's defense, this is because they have been pretty good at blocking shots this season. ","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392343021","particle_id":3956842,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Team Shooting Tendencies","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytitle","object_id":"titohwk_1392343023","particle_id":3956843,"type":"particle"},{"dimensions":{"height":406,"width":622},"picture":"https://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/infogram-particles-700/titohwk_1392343045.png","particle_type":"image","object_id":"titohwk_1392343045","particle_id":3956848,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"We already know that Iowa loves their transition game and prefers to score at the rim, while their opponents seem to really like shooting threes against them. Penn State, on the other hand, has an offense that likes to shoot the three ball about 3% more than average, and a defense that has opposing teams shooting them at basically the same rate. ","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392343048","particle_id":3956846,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Team Scoring Tendencies","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytitle","object_id":"titohwk_1392343051","particle_id":3956847,"type":"particle"},{"dimensions":{"height":407,"width":622},"picture":"https://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/infogram-particles-700/titohwk_1392343065.png","particle_type":"image","object_id":"titohwk_1392343065","particle_id":3956853,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Because of their style of play, Iowa gets most of their points at the rim and at the free throw line. Penn State, on the other hand, has a pretty average offensive scoring profile, but gets about 1% more of their points than average from long range. On defense, because both teams' opponents shoot a more than average amount of three pointers, their opponents get a more than average amount of their points from them. However, because Iowa's opponents have shot worse from three point land this season, both teams are almost equal in the percentage of points they give up from downtown. Where they do differ, though, is in the percentage of points given up from two point range and the charity stripe. ","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392343081","particle_id":3956851,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Win Probability: Iowa 87.46%, Penn State 12.54%","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytitle","object_id":"titohwk_1392343136","particle_id":3956857,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Projected Score: Iowa 79, Penn State 68","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytitle","object_id":"titohwk_1392343139","particle_id":3956859,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Projected Points Per Possession: Iowa 1.11, Penn State 0.96","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392343144","particle_id":3956861,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Projected Possessions: 71","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392343147","particle_id":3956862,"type":"particle"},{"shrink":null,"title":"","content_type":"","text":"Iowa is obviously the heavy favorite in this game. Although, I think we've all learned that a lot can happen on the road in the Big Ten this year. The worst case scenario for Iowa in this one is Frazier and Newbill going off against Iowa's defense coupled with Iowa shooting a mediocre percentage from the field, while having trouble getting the referees to blow the whistle on the road to get to the free throw line. If that scenario happens, Penn State could pull the off upset. More than likely, though,  even if Iowa's defense has some trouble with Penn State's two main stars, the Nittany Lion defense should struggle to completely shut down Iowa's high octane offense. ","picture":null,"particle_type":"bodytext","object_id":"titohwk_1392343149","particle_id":3956864,"type":"particle"}],"properties":{"embed_button":"enabled","custom_logo":"none","title_link":"infogram","whitelabel":false,"export_settings":{"showGrid":true,"showValues":true},"rtl":false,"transparent":false,"publishType":0,"social":"twitter"},"copyright":"*All rankings and projections are based on my own personal ratings.","width":700,"embedImageUrl":"https://infogram.io/p/2b7fccd2033c565465aa9f10e056ed8b.png","thumb":"https://s3-eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/infogram-thumbs-200/titohwk_1392342635.jpg","publicAccess":true,"public":true,"tags":"","pubtitle":"#4 Iowa at #89 Penn State","title":"#4 Iowa at #89 Penn State","path":"4-iowa-at-89-penn-state","user_id":887421,"theme_id":29,"block_id":"titohwk_1392342635","id":2434440}